Wednesday, November 2, 2011

True Capitalism: Superior to and incompatible with the Nation State

11/2/2011 Portland, Oregon - Pop in your mints…
Recently we have submitted for your consideration, fellow taxpayer, that Anarchy is man’s reality. It is not a choice, it is an ultimate given, it simply is.  All understanding of the current political and social structures is greatly facilitated by one’s acceptance of this simple fact.
In fact, one’s ability to act and react to the changes in the current political and social structures depends upon accepting and embracing Anarchy as the basis for reality and learning to operate in the True Capitalistic system which organically emerges as men learn that mutual trust and cooperation are in their rightly understood self interests, and that he who is to lead must truly become the servant of all.
To truly embrace this, for, as we have established, it useless to reject it, we must first understand something about the nature of mankind.  First and foremost, man, left to his own devices, is completely devoid of the ability to do the right thing.  He doesn’t have it in him.  He is lazy, self-serving, and completely evil.  He needs God and his fellow man to be able to do anything productive, altruistic, or remotely good.  A full defense of this statement is a subject for another day (although the evidence is all around us), we mention it here only to underscore the need for a framework within which mankind can avoid both self and mutual destruction.
The only reliable framework which has emerged out of Anarchy not only addresses the problem of human nature but also serves to turn man’s weaknesses into strengths.  This framework is True Capitalism.  By allowing market forces to work with as little hindrance as possible, mankind can insulate itself from descending into chaos and catastrophe.  As we have stated previously: 

Out of Anarchy, the Truly Capitalistic System would ORGANICALLY emerge, and with it a new dawn for humanity, built on mutual interest and almost endless capital formation which will engender a spontaneous and dynamic social order, and a society without borders that would enjoy freedom and prosperity that we cannot even imagine under current conditions.
The greatest virtue of True Capitalism is the speed with which it corrects errors in judgment.  Bad idea, malinvestment, frauds, and even violent and property crime are quickly dealt with.
Why?  The reason is that the consequences fall squarely on those whom have made the errors, and do not weigh on those who have not.  Conversely, the benefits of good decisions are enjoyed by those who have made them.  The education of man as to what is advisable and what is not is ongoing.

Market Anarchism

But who sets the rules?  By definition, there are no rules apart from what has been mutually agreed upon by consenting parties.  That said, it is easy to imagine how quickly a myriad of rules may spring forth in True Capitalism.  The key difference between these rules and those declared by a governmental decree is that compliance with the agreed upon rules in True Capitalism is voluntary, making compliance likely.  For to violate the rules of an agreement is to forfeit the advantage imagined to be gained by entering into the agreement. 
Even the primordial requirements of the right to life and property would organically be honored, for they are primordial to all humans, whether they readily admit it or not.  Being primordial, securing of the life and property of others would be amongst the first series of contracts that any person would enter into, whether directly or indirectly.
Of course, mankind is completely subject to natural (or divine, as one prefers) law, True Capitalism simply allows the fullest and most complete expression of the operations of natural law to operate in the dealings of men.
Did God not warn the people not to desire a king?
To fight True Capitalism, mankind’s least flawed response to his Anarchic surroundings, is to cause or submit to chaos and misery.  Yet every nation on the planet is devoted to some degree in the fight against True capitalism.  Why?  Simply because the nation state, under the guise of being the most perfect expression of man’s good intentions, today occupies the throne which rightly belongs to True Capitalism. 
The two are the antithesis of one another.  A nation state regulates by edict, True Capitalism regulates by example.  A nation state is rigid, where True Capitalism is pliable.  Hence, where True Capitalism will bend but never break, the nation state is repeatedly smashed to pieces when faced with change.
Moving to a less philosophical level, how can we be sure that Anarchy is the basis of man’s current existence?  Because the institutions which supposedly offer the best option to embracing Anarchy are beginning to succumb to the punishments they have built up in their losing fight against True Capitalism.
Yes, Anarchy is now trumping the nation state.  We urge you to watch closely the phenomenon which is currently playing out in Greece, for it is highly likely to play out in nearly every Western Democracy before Anarchy comes in to give its people a bear hug.
Thankfully, natural (or divine) law will not change.  One’s time would be better spent understanding the immutable truths of natural law, for they will prevail.  What is natural law?  We’ll give you hint.  It involves supply and demand, and loving one’s neighbor as himself.
Believe.
Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

P.S.  For more ideas and commentary please check out The Mint at http://www.davidmint.com/

Key Indicators for November 2, 2011

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,737 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,071,500,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,607,200,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Greece, Inc., Anarchy in action

11/1/2011 Portland, Oregon - Pop in your mints…
You can’t make this stuff up.  In case you are unaware, today, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou made a surprise call for a referendum on the most next round of bailout funding that its big Euro brothers, Germany and France, spent so much time and political capital to arrange.  From Reuters:

The Greek government faced possible collapse on Tuesday as ruling party lawmakers demanded Prime Minister George Papandreou resign for throwing the nation's euro membership into jeopardy with a shock call for a referendum.

Caught unawares by his high-stakes gamble, the leaders of France and Germany summoned Papandreou to crisis talks in Cannes on Wednesday to push for a quick implementation of Greece's new bailout deal ahead of a summit of the G20 major world economies.
Apparently, it was a surprise even to those in Athens:
Papandreou did not even inform Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos he was going to announce the referendum on the latest EU aid deal, a government official told Reuters.

"They must be crazy... this is no way to run a country," said a senior executive of one of Greece's biggest firms, speaking on condition of anonymity.
Yes, Anarchy is now trumping the nation state.  Let us examine the phenomenon which is currently playing out in Greece, for it is highly likely to play out in nearly every Western Democracy before Anarchy comes in to give its people a bear hug.

Allow us to present this development in terms of Greece as a Corporation to make clear the absurdity of the present situation. 
George Papandreou Jr - CEO Greece, Inc.
Greece Inc., the security and welfare agency, is one of the oldest in the Western world.  It is currently running an unbelievable operating deficit and is awaiting 8 Billion Euros payable in mid November under a financing deal that its largest creditors have essentially negotiated for it.
Mr. Papandreou, the CEO of Greece, Inc., along with Greece Inc.’s creditors, has been negotiating a new, complex financial deal which will allow the bankrupt corporation to continue to fund its security and welfare activities, albeit at reduced levels.  Without this deal, Greece, Inc. will run out of cash in January 2012.
Mr. Papandreou has been slashing the preferred dividends (welfare payments) and salaries of the Greece, Inc.’s shareholders and employees in order to comply with the terms of the current financing deal.
Looking ahead to January 2012, Greece Inc.’s lenders have “negotiated” yet another deal for it to be able to fund its operations past the corporation’s next D-Day.  Naturally, the deal includes a lot more “shared pain” in the form of further reductions to employee salaries and preferred dividends.  Naturally, this comes as unwelcome news to the employees and shareholders.
Sensing that he is losing control of the company, Mr. Papandreou suddenly feels the need to get “buy in” for the new deal from all affected parties.  Today, without consulting its creditors, Mr. Papandreou announced that he is presenting the complex financial deal for the formal approval of his enterprise’s (Greece) captive shareholders.
To make matters more interesting, he is scheduling the approval vote (aka the referendum) to occur at about the same time that Greece, Inc. is scheduled to run out of cash in January of 2012.  This may be the ultimate in financial brinksmanship.
Naturally, the potential funders (Germany, France, China, etal) are taken aback at the sudden “need” to gain shareholder approval.  This is something that is, while perfectly legal, completely unexpected and has introduced yet one more variable in what is already a complex deal.
Naturally, the introduction of this new variable has sparked anyone who is currently owed money by Greece, Inc. at a future date now trying to sell Greek bonds for whatever they can get for them, virtually eliminating the market for Greek debt and, in the process, making the creditors who are ready to sign the new deal with Greece, Inc. look extremely foolish. 
Beyond foolish, it naturally calls into question the motives, decision making ability, and ultimately the creditworthiness of said creditors Germany, Inc., France, Inc., and China, Inc. and their banking subsidiaries.
Crony Capitalism, there is nothing natural about it.
Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

P.S.  For more ideas and commentary please check out The Mint at http://www.davidmint.com/

Key Indicators for November 1, 2011

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,720 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,071,500,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,607,200,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Friday, October 28, 2011

The Tenets and Benefits of True Capitalism

10/28/2011 Portland, Oregon - Pop in your mints…
We have been kicking around the idea of True Capitalism and cannot shake it.  In our experience, the only hope we have of shaking it and moving on is to write it out, so here it is.  Thank you for listening, fellow taxpayer.  It may be simply a directionless rant, then again, we may solve the world’s problems.  Either way, we aim to make it entertaining.

We will start with what we know:

True Capitalism is man’s most perfect expression of democracy

True Capitalism enables Justice

True Capitalism enables Equality

True Capitalism enables true prosperity

True Capitalism is born in and comfortable with Anarchy

True Capitalism is radically trusting in people

The Breakdown of society is a breakdown of Trust, If there is to be hope for the future, we must collectively learn to trust again.  True Capitalism is a constant test of trustworthiness and a betrayal of trust is quickly and harshly dealt with.  Conversely, those found trustworthy stand to be richly rewarded in a Truly Capitalistic system.  The meting out of natural rewards and consequences increases general trustworthiness.

Anarchy leads to Order, not Chaos
True Capitalism improves society by carrying out the consequences of actions in a rapid and impartial manner.  It encourages men and women to serve one another as they find that serving one another is in their mutual interest.  In fact, it is in their rightly understood self interest (to quote a term from Mises) to serve one another.

Intrigued?  So are we.  But what exactly is True Capitalism?

True Capitalism is a radical respect for life and private property.  It is the recognition that the right of an individual to life and private property are inviolate and that individuals, assured that their life and property are no endangered, will reap the fullest benefits of the division of labor and mutual cooperation which men and women on this earth are capable of.
Participation in the True Capitalistic System is not voluntary, for True Capitalism, as we will find, is not an idealistic concept, rather, it is an ultimate given.  Apart from participation, however, all other actions and agreements which do not violate other’s rights to life or property are completely voluntary.
Let Freedom Ring!
Apart from being a part of the system, nothing done in the True Capitalistic System is purely obligatory.  This is where True Capitalism differs from what has come to be known as “Crony Capitalism,” the system in which most of the world currently operates which is full of random taxes, fees, regulations, and laws which require compulsion or coercion by a nation state in order to be paid or obeyed. 
At the other end of the spectrum, in the Truly Capitalistic system, actions such as paying an entity or observing a regulation may be strongly advisable to the point of being considered a necessity, but not taken under compulsion or the threat of violence by a nation state or another actor in the system.
In a Truly Capitalistic system, the best way to get ahead (obtain more opportunities, leisure, or whatever one desires) is to make oneself useful to his or her fellow man or woman.  The nature of the system is to reward those who best serve others.  Those rewarded then find themselves able to consume goods and services freely produced by their fellow man by using the resources they have obtained by doing the same.
If one lifts the veil of the machinations of today’s nation state, it is abundantly clear that this is more than idea, it is natural law.
We submit for your consideration, that, far from being unattainable ideals, True Capitalism (and by extension, Anarchy), are ultimate givens within which the current system of nation states are forced to operate.
If the nation state were to cease to exist, it can be argued that Anarchy would reign.  This is technically true.  Unfortunately, too many individuals believe that Anarchy would lead to chaos.  We believe that quite the opposite is true.
Out of Anarchy, the Truly Capitalistic System would ORGANICALLY emerge, and with it a new dawn for humanity, built on mutual interest and almost endless capital formation which will engender a spontaneous and dynamic social order, and a society without borders that would enjoy freedom and prosperity that we cannot even imagine under current conditions.
Believe.
Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

P.S.  For more ideas and commentary please check out The Mint at http://www.davidmint.com/

Key Indicators for October 28, 2011

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,743 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,071,500,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,607,200,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

The Three Ring Circus Begins

10/25/2011 Portland, Oregon - Pop in your mints…
What a difference a day makes.  Yesterday, it appeared that the authorities had most of the problems that ail the world’s economy resolved.  All they needed was a little more time, money and cooperation to implement their plans and the good times would be rolling once again!  Today, instead of coordinated, determined action, it appears that a three ring circus of sorts is beginning.

In Ring 1, we have the European Clown Car:  Yesterday, Europe looked ready to announce a plan to simultaneously solve the sovereign debt, banking, and resultant currency crises in one fell swoop.  Today, it appears that Italy is balking at implementing a growth plan on moment’s notice and Germany and France will need a miracle to announce a credible Pan-European rescue package by tomorrow, their self imposed deadline.  What a difference a day makes!

It should be clear by now to most sober persons that regardless of what is announced tomorrow, the Euro as a currency in its present form is not viable.  It should also be clear that the countries who have adopted the Euro will give away what is left of their sovereignty in a vain attempt to preserve it.

Step Right up!  The Economic 3 Ring Circus Begins
In Ring 2, we have the American Elephants:  The US is quietly completing three Bond auctions that will cause the national debt higher than the national GDP.  The official total should eclipse GDP by the end of October.  100% of GDP is when the debt of a mere mortal nation (Greece, for example) has traditionally harkened national bankruptcy.

The only exception to this rule is in Ring 3, the Japanese Tight Rope Walker: Japan, where national debt is north of 200% of GDP.  How do they avoid bankruptcy?  Simple, they print money to pay the debt.  As if to prove our point, today, the Bank of Japan decided that they have seen enough Yen appreciation and announced another five trillion Yen currency printing campaign.

When money doesn’t exist, the sky is the limit, which is why commodities and certain equities are set to explode to the upside.  Bonds, while they may not fall in nominal value, will fall in relative value as they are repaid in severely depreciated currencies.

As if on cue, commodities took off today.  How high and far they will fly this time is anyone’s guess.

As the circus gets underway, the sober amongst us are beginning to wonder, sometimes aloud, “if the Governments, banks, and monetary authorities cannot solve these problems, then who can?”

The answer, fellow taxpayer, is right under our fingertips.  We, the People of the earth can solve it.  The tool we have been given is our own wit and ingenuity.  The only requirement is that we embrace True Capitalism, for better or for worse, for richer or poorer, until death do us part.

What is True Capitalism?  It may be summed up as a deep, radical respect for life, liberty, and private property.  It is an understanding that mutual cooperation is more often than not in our rightly understood interests (to use a Mises term).  It is not simply a choice, it is the only choice.  More to come.

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

P.S.  For more ideas and commentary please check out The Mint at http://www.davidmint.com/

Key Indicators for October 25, 2011

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,705 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,056,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,570,500,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Monday, October 24, 2011

European Semi-Solution Extends the False Calm and indirect moratorium on Eurozone Investment

10/24/2011 Portland, Oregon - Pop in your mints…
Today after the western stock markets closed, the German lawmakers announced yet another plan in an attempt to stem the Eurozone’s tandem sovereign debt and banking crisis, which is rapidly accelerating.  The plan, according to AP, would boost the European Financial Stabilization Fund from its current 440 billion Euros approximately one trillion Euros.   
 
The one trillion Euro figure is an estimate due to the nature of the plan which involves enticing capital to invest in the Sovereign debt issues from Euro member states by creating an insurance fund to partially back sovereign debt issues that would otherwise attract little investor interest.
 
Think of it as a partial Fannie Mae guaranty for European Governments.  
 
There is a reason that foreign capital is hesitant to invest in Euro sovereign debt, and it is not for lack of enticement.  Greek, Spanish, Portuguese, and Italian bonds all offer fixed income investors a decent premium over other sovereigns for their perceived risk.  The problem from the point of view of the investors is that the premiums are not high enough if considered against the likely event that they will not get their principal returned.  The problem from the perspective of the Euro sovereign issuers is that they cannot realistically pay even these reduced premiums.
 
Once it is generally perceived that a nation state will default on its obligations, it is very difficult to attract capital, whether it be the purchase of sovereign bonds or investments in businesses located in the troubled country.
 
Default, while the most practical solution for any normal debtor, is apparently unacceptable for modern western nations.  For this reason, the Eurozone leadership is moving in slow, measured steps to appear to do just enough to preserve the credibility of the debt issued by the weaker, peripheral states such as Greece, Spain, and Portugal.
 
Will this latest Eurocrat concoction be enough?
 
For the moment, it may be.  The German Parliament must vote on their new obligations on Wednesday, just hours before the broader Eurozone working group is set to formally announce the plan, leaving no room for dissent, ala Slovenia earlier this month.  Once the political drama in Germany passes, it will be smooth sailing for the Euro and its sovereign debt markets…for about a week.  
The illusion of viability and solvency
At that point, it will again become clear that the banks and sovereigns will require additional funds (currently the estimate is north of 2 trillion Euros) in order to continue the illusion solvency.
 
The problem of Euro solvency is no secret.  This is why both banks and sovereign governments are having a great deal of difficulty getting credit from anyone other than other broke European governments, banks, the ECB, and the Federal Reserve.  This latter list of entities have two things in common.  First and foremost, they all have a vested interest in perpetuating the charade that the Euro is a viable currency.  Second, these entities, by virtue of their activities, can only destroy wealth and therefore must coerce the productive class into lending its resources.
 
To make matters worse, no one in their right mind can invest real capital in the Eurozone under these conditions.  With sovereign governments pushing austerity measures and increasing the confiscation of private assets via increased taxation, any further investment in the Eurozone must be properly seen as an act of charity.
 
Such is the paradox of solving debt problems by incurring more debt.  Once one believes that the debt cannot be repaid, this belief becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.  The Eurozone is becoming the world’s latest example of this inescapable truth.
 
Meanwhile, commodity prices, which reflect the fruits of productive activities, are on the verge of exploding to the upside, signaling a growing distaste for fiat currencies.   Will this be the final, violent blow off in commodities?
 
Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.
 
Stay Fresh!
 
 
 
P.S.  For more ideas and commentary please check out The Mint at www.davidmint.com
 
Key Indicators for October 24, 2011
 
Copper Price per Lb: $3.46
Oil Price per Barrel:  $91.60
Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,653 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,056,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,570,500,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!